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      • Open Access Article

        1 - Developing the Risk Management Model in Procurement Process of Project based Organization
        اميرحسين  اصلاني سید علیرضا  میر محمد صادقی
        The procurement plays a critical role in achieving the goals of project-based organizations, as it is one of the project management fields which include risk and uncertainty. In this article, different models which are existed in the field of procurement risk management More
        The procurement plays a critical role in achieving the goals of project-based organizations, as it is one of the project management fields which include risk and uncertainty. In this article, different models which are existed in the field of procurement risk management gathered and analyzed. Then the models are examined based on the questionnaire and according to the concluded index. Through integrating some models which have higher scores in assessing the criteria and through adding other factors, a model for implementing risk management in the procurement process of project-based organizations is suggested. The researcher uses the group decision making for considered goods and this factor is the strength points of the suggested model. In this model besides developing and optimizing organization procurement process, risk management affairs in planning for procurement are considered. In order to examine the operation of the developed model, it is implemented in the considered organization and the results of this implementation shows that the level of risk management operation in procurement process improved. Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        2 - Developing the Risk Management Model in Procurement Process of Project based Organization
        اميرحسين  اصلاني Ahmad نورنگ سید علیرضا  میر محمد صادقی حسام الدین  اصلانی
        The procurement plays a critical role in achieving the goals of project-based organizations, as it is one of the project management fields which include risk and uncertainty. In this article, different models which are existed in the field of procurement risk management More
        The procurement plays a critical role in achieving the goals of project-based organizations, as it is one of the project management fields which include risk and uncertainty. In this article, different models which are existed in the field of procurement risk management gathered and analyzed. Then the models are examined based on the questionnaire and according to the concluded index. Through integrating some models which have higher scores in assessing the criteria and through adding other factors, a model for implementing risk management in the procurement process of project-based organizations is suggested. The researcher uses the group decision making for considered goods and this factor is the strength points of the suggested model. In this model besides developing and optimizing organization procurement process, risk management affairs in planning for procurement are considered. In order to examine the operation of the developed model, it is implemented in the considered organization and the results of this implementation shows that the level of risk management operation in procurement process improved. Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        3 - Evaluation of entrepreneurship specifications: The case of Saman Bank employees
        پيمان  اخوان محمدرضا  زاهدی تکتم  ژیان
        Considering the importance of maintaining process in global markets and the today's world competitive field, innovation, creativity and entrepreneurship organizations generally and in financial organizations such as Banks specially, can have a significant role in receiv More
        Considering the importance of maintaining process in global markets and the today's world competitive field, innovation, creativity and entrepreneurship organizations generally and in financial organizations such as Banks specially, can have a significant role in receiving to the economic goals, therefore it seems necessary that each organization tries to examine and recognize the entrepreneurship qualifications of its employees, so by training this labor and persisting proper approach, can reach to the entrepreneurship process. Therefore, this study gets to through evaluating entrepreneurship qualifications of bank employees in dependency, and creativity will and determination, risk taking, success) in respect of the rate of having these qualification. Other objects of this study is determining the effects of employees sex marital state ,record of work and place of work on their entrepreneurship ,statistical population includes 110 employees of SAMAN bank and sample size of the research is 85 person who were chosen by casually sampling. For collecting data entrepreneurship comprehensive test questioning has been used which includes 54 questions about entrepreneurship qualifications stability and validity.co-efficient of the above said questioner is 71 percent. Statistics analysis has been done using SPSS software. In this research, we explored the level of the personnel entrepreneurship qualifications of SAMAN bank employees, so that this can be an introduction for the organization to progress through the entrepreneurship activities. The result of this research shows that although SAMAN bank s employees don’t have the necessary minimum for being entrepreneurship, but 22 percent of them are qualified for entrepreneurship. Also SAMAN bank employees, don’t have the average of dependency, creativity, and risk taking. The number of female employees in respect of having the dependency qualifications is more than male employees and, men who have risking (risk taking) and success qualifications are more than woman. In the case of creativity the number of both groups is the same. Furthermore, the results show that the employees' sex, marital status and place of services have no influence on entrepreneurship between records of work of the employees and their entrepreneurship. Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        4 - A New Approach Based on Failure Mode and Effects Analysis and Kepland to Extract and Prioritize the Effective risks on Project Completion Time
        mojtaba salehi
        Abstract Projects are planned based on estimated amounts that are the result of having little information about the future plans. According to the uncertainty of planning, time delays and costs of uncertainty are inevitable. The main objective of this study is to prese More
        Abstract Projects are planned based on estimated amounts that are the result of having little information about the future plans. According to the uncertainty of planning, time delays and costs of uncertainty are inevitable. The main objective of this study is to present a new approach based on failure mode and effects analysis and fuzzy logic to identify the affecting risks on duration of projects and ranking them using Kepland technique. In addition, in this research Shannon entropy is used for calculation of the weights of indexes. So after the study of related researches as well as through interviews and Delphi technique, some risks were identified. Then, based on three indicators of risk in the FMEA (severity, probability of occurrence, probability of detection), three questionnaire was prepared and their validity was confirmed by experts and reliability was calculated by Cronbach coefficient using SPSS software. The population of the study is 22 managers and experts that work on Debal Khazaei Company. Using triangular fuzzy numbers, the verbal variables of questionnaires became fuzzy numbers. Shannon entropy is used for calculation of weight of each index. Then, using decision making methods, ELECTRE TAXONOMY, TOPSIS and SAW, the risks are ranked. Finally, because of the relative difference of ranking in different techniques, Kapland technique is used to combine the results. TO help for developing the strategies of responding to the risks, some suggestions are presented. The contribution of this research is the simultaneous use of FMEA and Shannon's entropy to analisys the importance of risks and the ranking of them using Kepland technique. Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        5 - An Applicable Model for Diagnosing and Ranking the Key Success Factors of Project Risk Management (Case study: Research Institute of Petroleum Industry)
        Mohammad Ali Hatefi
        The purpose of project risk management is to improve project performance by systematically identifying and assessing risks, developing strategies to reduce threats and to maximize opportunities. According to our review, some key success factors have previously been iden More
        The purpose of project risk management is to improve project performance by systematically identifying and assessing risks, developing strategies to reduce threats and to maximize opportunities. According to our review, some key success factors have previously been identified in project risk management literature, but their importance relative to each other has yet been uncovered. This paper introduces an applicable model to diagnose and to rank the project risk management key success factors of an assumed project, using group decision-making. Surely, having the obtained rank may lead the project manager view toward focusing on critical points of project risk management. The proposed model could be used by the analysts of the other management fields. The paper ends with explaining a case study. Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        6 - The effect of risk and resources on Firm's growth strategies in high tech industries
        mohsen Parsajam   Bahman Hajipour Esmaeil Fadaei Nejad
        During the last decade there was a well known strategy to support startups and enterprenuers to stabilish firms in high tech industries. despite the position of high-tech industries has been weakened especially in export share. Growth strategies utilized by high-tech fi More
        During the last decade there was a well known strategy to support startups and enterprenuers to stabilish firms in high tech industries. despite the position of high-tech industries has been weakened especially in export share. Growth strategies utilized by high-tech firms can improve the position. Growth strategies help firms to increase their market share and sale revenues. Hence, current study aims to designate and validate growth strategies of high-tech firms. Research model has been proposed based on the extended literature, the situation of high-tech industry, and experts' views. Data is gathered by a self-administrated questionnaire and would be analyzed by structural equation modeling using SPSS 18 and LISERL 8.54. Population is managers of high-tech firms in Iran. A convenience sampling approach is employed to collect estimated sample. Data achieved from 451 respondents was analyzed. Results indicated that: 1) growth strategies of high tech firms affect their outputs, 2) resources affect growth strategies of high-tech firms, 3) multiple risks affect the utilization of resources by the high tech firms, and 4) high tech firms provide the needed resources for their growth based on the outcomes in terms of profit and/or attractiveness Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        7 - Analyzing influential factors on non-oil export development in terms of risk in Iran’s Custom Administration
        Maryam  Tanabandeh Sanjar Salajegheh
        Trade affairs, particularly export, have been always encountered with risks and uncertainties. It is obvious that coping with these risk categories requires a systematic process for identifying, analyzing and responding to the risks in order to maximize the results of p More
        Trade affairs, particularly export, have been always encountered with risks and uncertainties. It is obvious that coping with these risk categories requires a systematic process for identifying, analyzing and responding to the risks in order to maximize the results of positive events and minimizing the consequences of bad and negative events that can affect the main goals of export. Accordingly, the aim of this study is to design and determine the optimal risk management model and its executive requirements in the Islamic Republic of Iran's Custom Administration (IRICA) with the export development approach. The statistical population of the research in the qualitative section was the managers and experts of the IRICA in Tehran and in the quantitative section, was all experts of customs with a definitive export procedure. The sample needed for qualitative interviews was collected to the extent of theoretical saturation through a targeted judgment sampling. The qualitative data was analyzed by the grounded theory. Out of 181 subcategories extracted from verbal propositions, 41 core categories were extracted which formed the paradigm model of export risk management. Results indicated that product-based risk, trade risk, export decleration risk, non-performance risk, credit risk, transportation risk, individual based risk, and legal risk are the main export risks in Iran and related strategies were suggested. In addition, contextual factors including cultural, legal, environmental, economic, and political facors as well as mediator factors including quality of export operation mechanisms, human resource quality and stakeholder participation have affectd the risk management strategies. Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        8 - Investigation of the relationship between the managers narcissism with monitoring costs
        ameneh bazrafshan ashraf rezaei nasab
        The present study investigates the relationship between board of directors, CEO and financial non-executive member of the board narcissism with performance monitoring costs. Theoretically, firms with narcissistic manager have a higher risk of inherent risk and control r More
        The present study investigates the relationship between board of directors, CEO and financial non-executive member of the board narcissism with performance monitoring costs. Theoretically, firms with narcissistic manager have a higher risk of inherent risk and control risk Compared to other firms. Therefore, auditors must do additional work to maintain an acceptable level of audit risk when faced with such managers, and ultimately will demand more fees. To measure narcissism is used of the area of managers’ signatures. In this regard, 101 companies listed in Tehran Stock Exchange have been investigated in the period of 8 years during the years 2009-2017. The present research is an applied research in terms of purpose, and in terms of research method, descriptive-correlation is considered. The results of the research show that there is significant relationship between board of directors' narcissism (based on signature size) and audit fees. However, no significant relationship was found between the CEO and the financial non-executive member of the board narcissism with audit fees. Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        9 - Assessing the Impact of Managerial Capacity, Political Relationships, and Financial Crisis on Performance Improvement, Risk Management and Price Crash of accepted Banks in TEHRAN stock exchange: Combined method of data envelopment analysis and regression estimation of sls2
        Abdolmajid Kozehgar Kaliji abbas Pouraghajan Mohammad Abbasian
        Identifying the factors affecting the performance, risk and price of banks is important both from the perspective of shareholders and depositors and from the perspective of active elements in the market. Given that the financial market consists of the two main pillars o More
        Identifying the factors affecting the performance, risk and price of banks is important both from the perspective of shareholders and depositors and from the perspective of active elements in the market. Given that the financial market consists of the two main pillars of the money market and the capital market, the most important task of the capital market is to attract scattered capital and its optimal allocation to units that move both for economic development and to maintain the expected interests of investors. Therefore, banks, as the engine of financing the economy, are of special importance for other enterprises active in the economy, both for the government and for the banks themselves. Accordingly, identifying the factors and indicators affecting performance and profitability, risk management, as well as changes in their stock prices, both in terms of bank management and from a macroeconomic point of view, can guide the economy and governments. On the other hand, given that the main activity of banks is to provide facilities and loans to applicants, proper management of banking challenges and improving the factors affecting the efficiency and effectiveness of banking resources, can move the economic cycle in the right direction. Accordingly, the researcher analyzed the information of 11 banks in the 9-year period from 2009 to 2017 to assess the impact of management ability, political relations and financial crises on performance improvement, risk management and falling prices of banks listed on the stock exchange. Tehran Stock Exchange paid. The results of the analysis of hypotheses in three parts show that first, the ability to manage has no significant effects on any of the performance indicators of banks, including return on assets, return on capital, growth rate of shared income and growth rate of non-shared income, as well as management ability on liquidity risk effects. It is significant, but it does not affect credit, operational and bankruptcy risk. Finally, the ability to manage has not affected the risk of falling stock prices of banks. Second, political relations have only a positive and significant effect on the growth rate of shared income and have no significant effects on return on assets, return on capital and growth rate of non-shared income. Also, political relations have significant effects on liquidity risk and bankruptcy, but on risk. Credit and operations are not affected. Finally, political relations have not affected the risk of falling stock prices of banks. Third, financial crises only have a positive and significant effect on the growth rate of shared income and have no significant effects on return on assets, return on capital and growth rate of non-shared income. Also, financial crises have significant effects on credit risk, liquidity and bankruptcy. Does not affect operational risk Finally, financial crises have a statistically significant effect on the risk of falling stock prices of banks. Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        10 - Designing an expert system for risk assessment in exploration & development oil ‎and gas fields
        Hamidreza Vazirigohar Javad Akhlaghi
        In order to assess the risk of exploration and development of oil and gas fields, which is mentioned as one of the ‎most important determining parameters in the economic development of oil- countries, an expert system using ‎the inference fuzzy system approach was desig More
        In order to assess the risk of exploration and development of oil and gas fields, which is mentioned as one of the ‎most important determining parameters in the economic development of oil- countries, an expert system using ‎the inference fuzzy system approach was designed. First, the system inputs, which are in fact the characteristics ‎of risk assessment for the exploration and development of oil and gas fields, were extracted. In continuation, ‎the knowledge base of the system, the most important part of which is considered to be in the form of if-then ‎rules and based on the opinions of experts in the upstream part of the oil industry. To do this, the degree of ‎system accuracy is measured in two stages based on expert comments. Based on the Likert scale and presenting ‎a questionnaire to the experts, Student's t-test was performed and out of 48 defined indicators, 42 indicators ‎were selected as the final index. In the next step, the data validation of an oil field in the south of the country ‎was provided to the oil industry experts and they were asked to evaluate the output of the system‏.‏‎ Finally, the ‎opinions of experts were compared with the output of the expert system and based on the criterion of mean ‎square error (MSE) and a small difference between the average opinion of experts and the output of the system, ‎it was determined that the designed expert system has sufficient accuracy and validity for future studies.‎ Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        11 - Evaluation of the impact of management ability, political relations and financial crises on the risk management of banks admitted to the Tehran Stock Exchange
        abdolmajid koze gar abbas pour aghajan Mohammad Abbasian
        Identifying the factors affecting the performance, risk and price of banks is important both from the perspective of shareholders and depositors and from the perspective of active elements in the market. Given that the financial market consists of the two main pillars o More
        Identifying the factors affecting the performance, risk and price of banks is important both from the perspective of shareholders and depositors and from the perspective of active elements in the market. Given that the financial market consists of the two main pillars of the money market and the capital market, the most important task of the capital market is to attract scattered capital and its optimal allocation to units that move both for economic development and to maintain the expected interests of investors. Therefore, banks, as the engine of financing the economy, are of special importance for other enterprises active in the economy, both for the government and for the banks themselves. Accordingly, identifying the factors and indicators affecting performance and profitability, risk management, as well as changes in their stock prices, both in terms of bank management and from a macroeconomic point of view, can guide the economy and governments. On the other hand, given that the main activity of banks is to provide facilities and loans to applicants, proper management of banking challenges and improving the factors affecting the efficiency and effectiveness of banking resources, can move the economic cycle in the right direction. Accordingly, the researcher analyzed the information of 11 banks in the 9-year period from 2009 to 2017 to assess the impact of management ability, political relations and financial crises on performance improvement, risk management and falling prices of banks listed on the stock exchange. Tehran Stock Exchange paid. The results of the analysis of hypotheses in three parts show that first, the ability to manage has no significant effects on any of the performance indicators of banks, including return on assets, return on capital, growth rate of shared income and growth rate of non-shared income, as well as management ability on liquidity risk effects. It is significant, but it does not affect credit, operational and bankruptcy risk. Finally, the ability to manage has not affected the risk of falling stock prices of banks. Second, political relations have only a positive and significant effect on the growth rate of shared income and have no significant effects on return on assets, return on capital and growth rate of non-shared income. Also, political relations have significant effects on liquidity risk and bankruptcy, but on risk. Credit and operations are not affected. Finally, political relations have not affected the risk of falling stock prices of banks. Third, financial crises only have a positive and significant effect on the growth rate of shared income and have no significant effects on return on assets, return on capital and growth rate of non-shared income. Also, financial crises have significant effects on credit risk, liquidity and bankruptcy. Does not affect operational risk Finally, financial crises have a statistically significant effect on the risk of falling stock prices of banks. Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        12 - Designing a conceptual model of human resource risks and determining control strategies. Case of study: Yazd Municipality Freight and Passenger Transportation Organization
        Mona Esmailzadeh Mahdi Zarea Kamali
        Risks related to human resources can become an important part of business risks. Although often identified as risks resulting from non-compliance with occupational safety requirements, they can have broader and deeper impacts. Therefore, the purpose of this research i More
        Risks related to human resources can become an important part of business risks. Although often identified as risks resulting from non-compliance with occupational safety requirements, they can have broader and deeper impacts. Therefore, the purpose of this research is to design a human resource risk model and determine its control strategies in the cargo and passenger transportation organization of Yazd Municipality.The current research is mixed in nature and descriptive-survey in terms of data collection. At first, the risks of human resources were identified and categorized through interviews with the experts of Yazd Municipality Cargo and Passenger Transport Organization. Then, a panel consisting of experts was formed and the conceptual model of human resources risks was designed through the structural-interpretive modeling method, and finally control solutions were presented. Through interviews with experts, 39 human resource risks were obtained in the form of 7 categories. by using the members of the expert panel, the human resources risk model was designed, which has the most impact on the organization's management issues and the risk of knowledge and skills of human resources, the risk of physical and mental health of human resources, the risk of human capital and Behavioral risk of human resources has the most effectiveness.Investigating and controlling human resource risks is very important for organizations that are interested in improving performance. For this reason, it is better for managers, policy makers and planners of the organization not to neglect the benefits of identifying and analyzing human resource risks at different levels. Manuscript profile